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Episode 42: The Mid-2026 AI TradFi Meltdown: Citadel, Leopold, & Kospi Debt Crushes

August 7, 2026August 7, 2026

Episode Summary

The mid-2026 AI market is in absolute chaos. In this solo episode of the Social Ledger Report, JR breaks down $35B margin calls, predatory institutional trades, and global semiconductor cascades. 

Host

Jesus Burgoa (JR), Founder & CEO of MintLocke
LinkedIn:  https://www.linkedin.com/in/jesus-rafael-burgoa-b34874170/
X: https://x.com/jesusrburgoa
Website: https://jrburgoa.com/
MintLocke Website: https://mintlocke.com/

Find Us: 

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3cfUVNwIm2AXt2oZ0nx2Dv
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-social-ledger/id1803475184
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheBoostchannel
Website: https://theboost.fm/social-ledger-report/

YouTube:

Podcast:

📉 Key Highlights

1. Leopold Aschenbrenner vs. Citadel ($35B Margin Call)

  • The Setup: Ex-OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner grew his fund (Situational Awareness) to $45B using 4x leverage on AI stocks (Nebius, SK Hynix, CoreWeave, Micron).
  • The Crash: Core holdings plunged 35–47% following rate-hike fears, triggering broker margin calls.
  • The Squeeze: Citadel bought Leopold’s public book for $16B at a 10% discount. The Fed held rates steady, stocks rebounded 20–30% overnight, and Citadel netted ~$1.6B.
  • Current Status: Fund AUM dropped to $10B, but preserved its $5B Anthropic stake and removed all public leverage.

2. South Korea’s Semiconductor Leverage Crash

  • The Debt Bubble: 14M retail traders poured ₩14T (~$10B) into 2x/3x levered ETFs tracking Samsung and SK Hynix (>56% of the Kospi index).
  • The Flush: A July chip pull-back triggered a 25–33% Kospi crash, forcing margin calls across 1.2M retail accounts.
  • The Recovery: Big Tech earnings sparked a record +17% Kospi bounce, prompting regulators to freeze new levered ETFs.

3. Market Outlook & “Reverse Kramer”

  • Bitcoin Play: Jim Kramer announced selling his BTC over quantum encryption threats. JR uses the “Reverse Kramer” indicator to stay long on Bitcoin and the S&P 500.

Resources: 

tbpn letter from Leopold:
https://x.com/tbpn/status/2083226453509030285

Jim Cramer selling BTC post:

Jim Cramer says, “I’m going to sell my bitcoin” 🤣 pic.twitter.com/uLJAKk8gTM

— Documenting ₿itcoin 📄 (@DocumentingBTC) August 3, 2026

Rainy talks TikTok video about the South Korea stock market:
https://www.tiktok.com/@rainy.yaps/video/7668980589944507669

South Korea AI bubble TikTok video:

@p.mker.black.bi

South Korea’s Al Bubble Just Popped #al #news #andrei

♬ original sound – P Mker.black bi

👍 Like, subscribe, and drop a comment below with your thoughts on the AI bubble!

0:01

All right, everyone. Welcome back to the show. This is JR back at Social Leure

0:04

Report. We’ve been away for quite a while. We’ve been very busy. If you

0:08

cannot tell, I’m here by myself. Leon is working for another startup right now,

0:13

and I’m here to try to continue running the show. So, while we’ve been away,

0:17

there’s been a lot of things happening. There’s been nothing but a lot of

0:22

traditional finest news. I cannot find anything that is very relevant right now

0:26

with crypto. So what I’m going to do is we’re going to have a little bit more of

0:29

a different segment than what you guys already used to uh where we normally

0:33

talk about crypto but now we’re going to talk a little bit more adjacent to it

0:36

which is traditional finance and what better than AI. How is AI performing in

0:42

2026 in the middle of the year or almost at the third quarter I should say. So uh

0:48

some things that happened very recently we’re going to talk about those are the

0:51

situational awareness getting margin called by uh caused by the citadel. So,

0:57

Leopold, and I’m going to mispronounce the [ __ ] out of his last name, Ashen

1:01

Brener. Um, he was heavily leveraged on AI names. He got margin called. He was

1:07

forced to sell public books to Citadel for pennies on the dollar. So, we’ll

1:11

have a lot of stuff to cover about that. And then the last thing we’ll cover is

1:14

South Korea’s AI and semiconductor Cascade. So heavy retail leverage plus

1:21

margin calls um especially around the memory stocks like SKHY NIX HIX I don’t

1:28

know how to pronounce that but in the broader Cosby which was kicked off or

1:32

amplified by the July selloff of chip and AI names. Now I said a bunch of [ __ ]

1:37

but basically they got uh margin called and the stocks in South Korea are just

1:42

tanking at the moment. um that was caused by a forced selling spilled

1:47

globally and we’re already seeing sort of like this ripple effect across the

1:52

world. So, I mean, we’re kind of [ __ ] if I’m being honest. Like, we’re kind of

1:56

cooked, but you know, we’re here to cover the market. So, let’s see what

1:59

happens. Um, but before we continue, make sure you hit like to this video,

2:03

subscribe to the channel. It cost you nothing. It helps us continue producing

2:06

this kind of content. Dislike if you dislike it. Let me know what you think,

2:10

what you want me to cover, and we can go from there. Okay. So for the first video

2:15

we will cover Leopold’s um situation. So his I’ll cover in the

2:21

video here in a moment. I’ll share with you. But the TLDDR which I’ll cover here

2:25

again in a moment. Um the TLDDR is one who is Leopold. He was an ex open AAI uh

2:32

researcher I believe. Um he was fired apparently. There’s like rumors saying

2:36

that he was fired, that he was gone, but he left and he created his own thesis

2:42

about situation awareness, basically leveraging AI, and we’ll cover that here

2:45

in a moment um more in detail. Um leveraging AI to do investments and he

2:50

created a $45 billion AUM um earlier last month and his own firm called

2:57

Situation Awareness and recently it was margin called. So, wherever we’re on

3:02

Twitter, I think there’s a couple of takeaways with this, but you know, we

3:06

we’ll cover here in a moment. So, so this is Rainy Talks and he’s basically

3:11

going to cover this entire situation with Leopold and Citadel.

3:16

This guy just made $1.6 billion off this guy in a single day. So, we should all

3:21

know who this guy is by now, but if you don’t, this is Leopold Arshen, a

3:25

24year-old former researcher at OpenAI who got fired in 2024 over a leaked

3:29

memo. Two months later, he published a 165page essay called Situational

3:34

Awareness, which overnight became required reading across Silicon Valley.

3:37

He then started a hedge fund, named it after the essay, raised $225 million,

3:40

and in 2 years turned it into $45 billion, betting early on AI chips,

3:45

power, and data centers. So this week, the market saw a huge crash after this

3:49

guy, Ken Griffin, the founder and CEO of Citadel, warned that the Fed might

3:52

surprise everyone with a rate hike. Leopold was running his fund at a forex

3:56

leverage and his

3:57

>> So for those of you who don’t know when you run something at a forex leverage it

4:00

basically means you’re leveraging against your whatever position

4:04

leveraging as in like you’re putting higher risk for higher reward or higher

4:08

return. Um I’ll give you more thoughts here in a moment. I’m going to let you

4:12

guys finish this.

4:13

>> Main positions in Nebulus, Skhinix, Corewave and Micron all dropped between

4:18

35 and 47%. And so his brokers Goldman, JP Morgan, and Bank of America pulled

4:23

the trigger and margin called him. This is the part where Ken steps in. Citadel

4:27

offers to buy Leopold’s entire public book for $16 billion. And they do in a

4:32

single block trade before market open. The Financial Times reported that he got

4:35

a 10% discount below market value. And by the time the dust settled,

4:38

situational awareness went from a $45 billion fund to a$10 billion fund

4:44

overnight. And guess what? The Fed never hiked rates. And the exact stocks that

4:48

Ken bought off Leopold bounced 20 to 30% the very next day. So just to be clear,

4:53

situational awareness isn’t dead. They still hold a $5 billion stake in

4:57

Anthropic along with a few other private AI positions. So the lesson here is you

5:01

can be completely right about absolutely everything in the market until you’re

5:05

not. And being right doesn’t matter if you have [ __ ] risk management. Make sure

5:08

to follow and send this to anyone who thinks that being

5:11

>> Yeah. So check out more in his channel. Very cool guy. He’s we’re actually going

5:14

to watch him here again for the South Korea situation. So again, he made a

5:19

pretty good overall explanation on this. I think the takeaway is

5:24

one there was very much insider trading happening here. Like you just got to

5:28

call it what it is. It was kind of like insider trading, manipulating the

5:30

markets. Um more than anything I should say, manipulating the markets. Um, man,

5:35

it’s just crazy to me because like most people look at I mean we live in a

5:41

time where insider trading and man market manipulation is at a very most

5:46

prevalent and everyone is just sort of okay with it and funny funny enough like

5:52

uh companies like autopilot um unusual wells or I guess I should say apps like

5:57

autopilot unusual wells and then I believe um I’m I’m blanking the name of

6:02

the name of this person but I’ll find his video here in a moment. Um, he was

6:06

calling out Trump for having manipulating the market for manipulating

6:10

the markets and then creating a subscription on Truth Social to

6:15

uh pay 100,000 to get access to like momentary like basically you’re paying

6:22

to win by getting access to Trump’s tweets when he’s talking about the

6:27

markets like Dell’s the most beautiful laptop ever. you should buy some of

6:31

that. And then moments later, you’re going to see a surge on the stock. Um,

6:35

but now they’re paywalling it because they realize, oh, we’re actually we can

6:38

actually make money off of this. So, everyone is playing the insider game

6:42

very much. So, uh, right before I move on with this other thing, I want to

6:48

cover a few more things. So, TVPN, Tech Brothers, uh, Podcast Network, I think I

6:53

think that’s how you I think that’s what they stand for. Um, they cover here on

6:58

this post. Here’s the full letter Leopold sent to his LP last night. This

7:03

is as of July 31st. So, um, man, it’s already been over a week almost. Uh,

7:09

rumors of his demise are greatly exaggerated. So, we’re going to cover

7:13

real quick. It says for this is for the those listening in the audio. Dear

7:18

partners, we let you down this month. We came closer to a permanent capital

7:22

impairment that is acceptable to us. While we ultimately found a solution

7:27

that protected the fund and US investors, our intention in running the

7:32

fund is to never find ourselves in such a position in the first place, which it

7:36

was I mean kind of out of their control really, but like what can you do when

7:39

you have a big player manipulating the markets? Volatility is the prize of a

7:44

long-term investment returns. Over the past two years, we have delivered

7:47

outstanding results despite occasional sharp pullbacks. But our fund must

7:54

always be structured such that we can take a loss and fight another day. I

7:59

will make it my mission to ensure that we will learn the necessary lessons from

8:02

this experience. I feel like they’re still learning. So, you know, that’s

8:05

kind of rich. I mean, again, case closed, like it was very much market

8:09

manipulation at its finest. Here’s where things stand. The portfolio experienced

8:13

a significant draw down over the course of July, which has which was exacerbated

8:18

by extreme moves in core positions over the past week. Many AI names drew down

8:23

by half or more while our positive LS spread reversed violently. While we co

8:30

excuse me, while we could say much about how unusual the month was, we hold

8:34

ourselves to a higher standard irrespective of market conditions. As

8:38

these moves proceeded, we started to see increasingly adverse trading in names

8:44

publicly associated with us. These dynamics are essentially similar to a

8:47

bank run vulnerability be getting more vulnerability. We worked to keep the

8:52

portfolio within our risks parameters, but gradually this became more difficult

8:55

as positions rapidly moved against us and market liquidity dried up. On

9:01

Wednesday night and Thursday morning, we took a decisive action to protect LP

9:06

Capital. We traded a portion of our public portfolio in a block transaction

9:09

to remove all leverage from the fund and prevent further losses. All short shorts

9:14

were closed and reliance on portfolio financing removed. We currently manage a

9:18

full paid for public book quot or um parenthesis long stock and long full

9:24

paid for options with no margin liquidation risks. This restored

9:28

stability and allowed us to preserve our private position. I take full

9:32

responsibility for these events. Um I mean Leopold seems like a nice guy. Did

9:37

you know by the way and you can verify this on Twitter if you like, he actually

9:41

learned about this as he was getting [ __ ] married. So that’s actually

9:44

super meadow. If I was getting married and if I learned that

9:49

my position was essentially losing billions, I would probably kill myself.

9:54

Like, I’m not even gonna lie. I don’t know if I can say that, but I would off

9:57

myself at that moment. Like, I say this uh satirically, but you know, I cannot

10:03

imagine how he felt. That’s what I’m saying. Anyways, uh so this is the third

10:06

page. I think we’re almost done here, but to be clear, this should rightly

10:10

have been a peer. Excuse me. This should have been a very painful month in terms

10:14

of the performance of our fund. When AI stocks draw down dramatically while AI

10:20

technical businesses or business fundamentals are improving, you should

10:24

expect our fund to be down a lot. And again, this is very much the market

10:28

conditions that we saw. We embrace volatility, but it should never

10:31

jeopardize the fund. The fund was not shut down, liquidated or transformed

10:36

into a privateonly fund which is kind of rich because Hitido kind of holds u a

10:40

good amount of it now. Anyways, uh we are continuing to operate as a hybrid

10:45

public private fund as before. However, we will manage our public book on a

10:50

fully paid for basis while we draw the lessons from these developments. Most

10:56

importantly, we took the steps that were necessary to fight another day. In the

11:01

coming weeks, I will focus on putting in motion the necessary changes across our

11:06

portfolio management risk team and vigilance applied across the board to

11:11

ensure a higher level of resilience going forward. AI may continue to

11:15

intensify the market volatility for years to come. Assuming the bubble

11:19

doesn’t burst, mind you, but I digress. Uh these were very expensive scars, but

11:24

I am dedicated to ensuring they will be invaluable lessons for our organization

11:28

and for myself as we move forward. My core promise to you is that we will not

11:32

waste the opportunity to learn from these events and this should be the last

11:36

page on the portfolio itself. We are very optimistic about the current

11:40

investment opportunity set. The underlying fundamentals are accelerating

11:44

at a very same at the very same time that prices have declined significantly.

11:49

Thank you for your patience and your partnership. I am fully invested

11:51

alongside you virtually. All of my capital is in the fund and I intend to

11:55

work relentlessly to demonstrate that the events of this month have made me a

11:59

wiser and stronger investor. I am available next week for one-on-one phone

12:03

calls with each of you to discuss all of the above. As an interim update, our

12:08

current unodudited estimate of the net MTD performance is negative 67%.

12:14

And of net YTD performance of plus 80%. Final figures will follow through our

12:19

normal reporting process. We will follow up recording a group call next week to

12:22

share further details. So god damn that’s insane.

12:27

Those are insane margins like just the difference. It’s kind of crazy but like

12:31

I mean it literally dipped. You lost billions for a brief moment and it kind

12:35

of bounced back which is again very much uh market manipulation by Citadel. So I

12:39

don’t know if they want want me to say that or they’re going to want to want

12:42

you to think that but that’s very much what happened if you know how to read

12:45

the markets. So um let’s go over some comments because why not? So Jeffrey

12:50

Forest says he’s up 80% YTD because of a 5 billion private anthropic holding.

12:54

Anything public was blown up. I mean that’s also the the reality like

12:58

Enthropic is going to be a billion or excuse me um they’re going to aim for

13:02

that $1 trillion IPO and yeah I mean Claude and Antropic are fundamentally

13:08

transforming everything that we know. So this isn’t you know wrong. Isn’t Slob

13:13

genering a man apology? Sorry. Well words. Isn’t slop generating a man

13:19

apology letter to investors kind of insulting?

13:22

Uh yeah, this guy’s sentence was kind of

13:25

badly written, but I mean um I don’t know if he used AI to write that letter,

13:30

but I mean there’s got to be some influence using AI such as cleaning up

13:34

grammar. So maybe this is what he meant or something. We’re getting some ads

13:37

here. But um still up 80% year-to- date. Absolute cinema. He took the steps SBF

13:44

didn’t. So, he lives to fight another day. You know, I’ve seen this around

13:48

before because when I was looking at this at first when it happened in

13:52

preparation for the podcast, there were some comparisons I was seeing with SBF.

13:56

The only difference between Leopold, which is the nerdiest [ __ ] name ever,

14:01

um, and SBF, were that Leopold did the right thing by, you know, biting um I

14:08

don’t want to say biting the the um biting the curve or something, but he

14:14

he took a hard pill there. He did what was necessary to make sure people didn’t

14:18

lose money, and SBF literally literally didn’t care. Like, he said he would care

14:22

at face value, but, you know, he was lying. and you know he got caught and

14:27

Coffeezilla you know exposed him but I digress. So this is kind of like the

14:32

letter. Um another thing that I want to share here and since we have a little

14:36

bit of time here because you know we’re only covering two segments um so I was

14:41

looking on things I wanted to share here um on Twitter and I was searching for

14:47

TVPN specifically because there were some clips I wanted to share from the

14:50

podcast. I would have shared the podcast but you know it was going to take way

14:54

long and you know I didn’t want to be jumping around that video but I found

14:58

some very humorous comments here. So this is from Tommy. This is very real.

15:03

Like this is not humorous but I think this was really cool. Tommy says dunking

15:07

on Leopold is ridiculously stupid. He left Open AI had a thesis raised a fund

15:14

executed against it aggressively and moved some serious capital around.

15:18

Respect to those in the arena. everyone else is a keyboard warrior. Take more

15:22

risk. And I think that’s a takeaway. I probably would have put this at the very

15:26

end of the episode. Um, just take more risks. That’s all you got to do. Like

15:30

you’re not you can either do nothing and have no outcome, no no

15:39

um, God, I’m blanking on the word. You can either choose to live life passively

15:44

and have no returns whatsoever or you can do

15:48

some things and then have the opportunity to get something in return

15:52

just by trying. So that would be the takeaway from this. Um

15:57

so if I scroll down a little bit more, I mean you can kind of read these if

16:01

you’re watching this on YouTube, but um a lot of people are kind of just glazing

16:06

him. Oh my god. So

16:08

>> far my view. So, so one thing I wanted to share here is his laugh. I think it’s

16:12

kind of funny. Like, not not to throw at him because I actually respect the [ __ ]

16:15

out of this guy. Like, you know, he’s getting married and he lost all his, you

16:18

know, position, most of it, while he was getting married, but yet he was able to

16:22

do everything this other person said. So, mad respect to this guy. Like, he

16:25

deserves a lot of credibility. But I just thought this was kind of funny. So,

16:28

this is from If Leopold was not spared, who are we? And he was such a happy kid.

16:34

This wasn’t a podcast. He just had a pretty interesting laugh, which I

16:37

thought it was kind of funny. That’s the short summary of my past or

16:42

my view on the project.

16:45

>> God, I mean, the only thing I want to mention with this is I know I know a kid

16:49

who’s like autistic genuinely and he actually laughs like that. So, we all

16:53

got the tism. If you you got to be successful to if you have the tism, you

16:56

have higher chance of being successful is what I’m saying. Um, but no offense

16:59

to him. So, yeah, I mean, people are saying he’s fine and and yeah, he he was

17:03

fine in the end, so thank God for that. Um, okay. Okay, I think that’s

17:07

everything I wanted to cover as far as Leopold. We’re still good with time. So,

17:11

now let’s move on to the South Korea semiconductor fiasco. So, essentially a

17:16

little bit more on what happened with Leo Leopold with um South Korea with the

17:20

whole AI and semiconductor uh fiasco that happened with the margin call. So,

17:25

along TLDDR and you’ll watch a video here in a moment that I’ll pull up. Um

17:28

basically uh it’s stock market hit kind of like a

17:32

black Friday situation from the 80s I believe or 1980s. Um,

17:38

so as we’ve known AI is kind of like this Ponzi scheme where money keeps

17:42

rotating from like Nvidia to Anthropic and then Anthropic buys more Nvidia

17:48

chips using that same money and because they’re doing a transaction that’s

17:52

considered volume going up and basically rinse that and repeat with Oracle,

17:57

Microsoft, Amazon, literally all the big tech companies. uh they’re getting

18:02

money, they’re giving money, and they’re all just rotating that same fund over

18:06

and over. So, it’s kind of a mess. Um so, essentially, uh based on my notes

18:11

here, I got so essentially Samsung and especially SKHY

18:16

Nix Hix, I don’t know how to pronounce, but still, uh the big memory chip plays

18:21

for AI servers and HBM led to a massive rally. Basically, the Cosby hit a record

18:27

high or the Korean um stock market hit a record high around June 19 to 22nd of

18:35

this year. Um retail investors went all in. They piled heavily into single stock

18:41

leveraged ETFs, products designed to deliver 2x the daily move of Samsung or

18:47

SK Henix. These were relatively new and approved around late May. um and retail

18:54

poured roughly 14 trillion one which is about almost 10 billion US into them in

19:00

the short period or in the short term. Um I was reading off my notes. So

19:05

anyways, let’s just show you this video because I think this guy will do a

19:09

better job at explaining it than I have. Truthfully, I’m learning this as things

19:14

are unfolding. This happened like not that long ago. So,

19:18

uh South Korea’s AI bubble just popped. So,

19:22

uh, one thing I’ll say before playing this video, I think all of this is a

19:27

symptom to the, well, the AI bubble for sure, like

19:31

everything is just like getting overinflated. And if you have AI at the

19:35

end of your startup, there’s a good chance you’ll raise good enough capital,

19:38

you just show that you want to Stanford or something here in the US and you’ll

19:41

get like hella millions of dollars in your series um, in your seed round. So

19:47

anyways, um this is for South Korea, so I’m going to play the video.

19:52

So just three weeks ago, South Korea had the best performing stock market in the

19:57

world. The stock market is something called the

20:01

Cosby, and it’s gone up almost 200% in the last 12 months. Compared to other

20:07

stock markets like the US’s S&P 500, which only made 24%. South Korea was

20:12

just on another level. At one point this year, one of their companies, Samsung,

20:18

was up over 500%. And SKX was up over a,000%. That’s basically 10x.

20:26

>> Clearly, clearly I’m an underthal because I don’t know how to pronounce

20:28

things. SK Highix is what it is. And yeah, the Cosby is the Korean South,

20:32

excuse me, the South Korea uh stock market. Anyways, I’ll play

20:36

>> money, which is just unheard of. Now, here in the US, our equivalent of the

20:41

stock market is something called the S&P 500, represented by ETFs like this one,

20:46

VO. And inside of this ETF, the top 10 companies represent 36% of this index,

20:56

which historically is a very high concentration.

21:00

But for South Korea’s Cosby, just two companies alone, Samsung and SKX

21:07

represent over 56% of their whole stock market. And that’s

21:14

all mostly thanks to regular people or retail investors that have just borrowed

21:20

money to invest into the stock market. And that’s

21:23

>> Does that sound familiar? For any for any of those you know, if you’ve ever

21:26

studied US um history, you’ve probably heard of the Great Depression. This is

21:30

literally what happened in the 1920s with the Great Depression. We were

21:34

borrowing money to buy stocks, which is literally the most dumbest thing you can

21:37

ever do. Unless you are like a quantitative researcher, if you I mean,

21:43

not to insult anyone, right? But I just have some very strong opinions with this

21:47

because if you don’t know what you’re doing, if you’re borrowing money to do

21:49

something that your friend told you like, “Hey dude, like GameStop stock

21:53

just went through the roof in 2021. We need to buy more of this.” You know, and

21:57

then you’re here selling, I don’t know, maybe not selling, but borrowing money.

22:01

You got a personal loan and you’re putting that into GameStop. You’re not

22:03

going to have a good time. And I think this is the key takeaway. Don’t borrow

22:07

money unless you know exactly what you’re doing. And even then, you should

22:10

question yourself and be like, do I really know what am I doing or am I just

22:13

an idiot who is listening to my friend here who may or may not have a good

22:17

idea. Either way, to each their own with their own risk. But I digress.

22:21

>> Roughly 14 million retail investors, they’ve put their savings and a huge

22:27

amount of borrowed money into those two stocks. And then in just 21 days,

22:34

everything started to collapse. The Cosby dropped 25% and because of that

22:40

1.2 million accounts, which works out to be 1 in every 30 people in the country

22:47

got hit with something called margin call thresholds. This is what happens

22:51

when a stock goes down far enough to trigger the loan on the borrowed money

22:54

to liquidate or basically be forced to sell off their stock. So just 3 weeks

23:00

ago, South Korea,

23:01

>> that’s pretty much it. Tik Tok has a good habit of replaying the same videos.

23:04

So, why don’t we look at some of the comments? You kind you guys already kind

23:07

of got the gist of it. We’ll cover more here in a moment. Um,

23:11

some of these comments are kind of crazy. So, uh, borrow money to invest in

23:15

stock market. Me with an inkling of US economical history. So, that’s literally

23:19

what I was just saying with the Great Depression. Um, this will happen in our

23:24

country and they will give billions to the wealthy of our taxpayer dollars to

23:28

bail them out. I mean, they’re not wrong. This happens quite a lot. So this

23:32

other person said it went up 200% compared to a 27 drop. That’s nothing.

23:38

Excuse me. That’s nothing. So this is why I see Koreans all flocking to North

23:43

America and Europe for traveling over the last three years. The whole concept

23:47

of stocks makes no sense. And many bachelor’s degree is Scott doesn’t know

23:52

how to pronounce bachelors. Bachelor’s degree is literally in economics. So um

23:58

everyone has different opinions I guess. So to each their own. So um why don’t we

24:03

talk about the Cosby right now? So so the Cosby you know I do trading I don’t

24:10

do international trading I mostly worry about um domestic companies but I think

24:16

for those of you who are in a similar position like I am we could learn with

24:19

this together. So uh this the Cosby has experienced extreme volatility plunging

24:24

roughly 40% from its midJune 2026 peak due to leveraged ETF. So that’s

24:30

literally what we were covering. Um uh the recent roundabout, this is what I

24:35

wanted to mention. So strong earnings from major US tech clients fueled an

24:40

unprecedented one-day surge easing panic selling and stabilizing regional tech

24:46

shares. So, uh, South Korea just had like a pretty bad day and then here

24:51

comes the US the American well words here come the American companies

24:58

pseudo bailing them out question mark like yeah I mean Nvidia is the Nvidia

25:04

Apple are among the largest companies in the world or most valuable assets in the

25:08

world if you own that company so it makes complete sense like I think you

25:13

know I think uh we’re going to be fine guys like um I do think the bubble is

25:19

bound to burst. These are just little symptoms of something that is

25:24

coming. I It’s definitely coming. It’s just I would be careful where you put

25:27

your money is what I’m trying to say. At the end of the day, you got to do your

25:29

own research. You cannot trust what people are telling you unless they’re

25:33

like experts. Like [ __ ] if Leopold was telling us here, dude, you got to buy

25:36

Micron. You got to buy SanDisk. I’d be like, okay, but why? And then he

25:40

explains why. And I’d be like, “Well, based on your background, based on your

25:43

[ __ ] thesis, bet I’m in.” You know, that that’s what I would do. That’s what

25:49

people what I would tell people to do to some degree. Like, you just got to

25:52

understand who you’re asking. You got to understand who you’re talking to. Like,

25:55

would you rather get financial advice from Neopold himself or from someone

25:59

working at McDonald’s, your coworker if you’re working at a fast food place? You

26:03

know what I mean? So, uh, this other person I wanted to cover

26:07

here, uh, Renie talks, he did a pretty good, uh, I mean, we’re going to cover

26:14

this from a different angle. I think his comments and his audience is kind of

26:18

funny as well. So, I kind of wanted to cover it. This is from a different

26:20

angle. Um, this is trillions of of one being lost in Korea. So,

26:25

>> Korea is major

26:27

>> right now. Here’s why. This July, the Cosby fell over 33%. That’s not just a

26:31

bad month. That’s worse. In 2008, Samsung and SKH Highix are down double

26:35

digits in a single session. Circuit breakers got triggered four times this

26:38

month alone and over a million people got margin called. But as of today, the

26:42

Cosby is up 17%. It’s the best day this market’s ever had. SKH Highix is up

26:47

close to 30% and Samsung is up over 20%. Why? Because Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta

26:52

all be earnings overnight, telling everyone that the AI spending story

26:55

isn’t dead. But here’s the mechanism that turned a correction into the

26:58

market’s worst month ever. People weren’t just buying Samsung and SKHEX.

27:02

They were buying leverage products on top of them. Funds that double or triple

27:05

whatever the stock does. On the way up is free money, but on the way down, you

27:08

don’t just fall with the stock. It compounds every single day until the

27:11

losses are worse than the crash itself. Regulators are starting to take action.

27:15

2 weeks ago, they banned any new leverage products from launching. And as

27:18

of today, they’ve tripled the minimum deposit required to trade the ones

27:21

already out there. And here’s the part that makes it messier. The government

27:24

didn’t just stumble into this. They approved these leverage products in the

27:27

first place, obviously specifically to stop Korean money flowing into similar

27:31

leverage ETFs already trading in Hong Kong and the US. It was meant to keep

27:34

investment and the Korean one at home. And now that same strategy is under real

27:38

scrutiny. Questions remain on how the new curbs will actually work in

27:41

practice. And there are mounting calls for the government to take more

27:43

accountability.

27:46

>> Yeah. So essentially, we’re finally getting they’re finally getting

27:48

regulated, which is kind of what happened with the US economy after the

27:52

Great Depression in case you didn’t know. like you can’t literally buy

27:55

stocks using your credit card because that’s doing the same thing. So, um I

28:00

think it was about time. I’m honestly kind of surprised. Like like I said, I’m

28:03

I’m the most dumbass here in this room because I don’t know uh the the Cosby. I

28:08

barely just learned how to pronounce the HKEx or whatever. Um and I’m not trying

28:12

to undermine my position. All I’m saying is some of us are just not aware of what

28:16

is happening on the other side of the world. In many ways, South Korea is one

28:20

of the most advanced um countries in the world, one of the most developed with

28:24

the highest with some of the highest um it has one of the largest economies in

28:29

the world. And yet they’re barely regulating this. Like to us, we’ve been

28:33

part of this game for a long time. So, it’s kind of interesting. It makes you

28:36

think is is my point here. So, um at this point, he’s not going to cover

28:41

anything new that we’ve already discovered. Um, I thought it was very

28:44

interesting how his take was. Uh, the comments here are hilarious. I don’t

28:49

know if you can see them, but you know this one. JT here says, “Citadel wanted

28:53

it. Leopold’s portfolio. The South Korea Korean regards were just collateral

28:59

damage.” And you the creator liked this. I just covered this and people are just

29:06

um kind of on the same page with that comment. So Koreans FA buy shorts and

29:12

then the market goes up. Yeah. So it’s kind of like Jim Kramer where they it

29:18

kind of does the opposite of what they’re doing. So just gambling, no

29:21

access to home, lost generation. I mean I mean I don’t think I mean it’s just

29:28

it’s just the I don’t even know how to say this, but I I think that a lot of

29:32

people who say that when you’re trading stocks, when you’re trading cryptos,

29:35

they call it gambling. I think they say that because they don’t know better

29:38

because either they had a very bad experience and they give up in trading

29:42

or investing altogether. But whether you’re trading, you’re investing, all of

29:46

these things really matter. This is how people actually get rich. your money

29:50

does more for you when you’re putting it in an asset that is that is active and

29:56

working around the clock where if you’re putting it on, you know, whether you’re

30:00

just holding cash itself or you’re putting your money on a low yield uh

30:06

savings account or even your checkings accounts, you’re going to lose money

30:08

against inflation. So, the best thing to do, guys, is just to put your money on

30:12

an asset that you trust, such as the S&P 500. Anyways, uh I’m not a financial

30:17

adviser, but I just wanted to say that. Um,

30:20

I think we’re good with time now. So, one thing I wanted to say here is, so I

30:25

know we talked a little bit about different things. I think the cover

30:28

coverage that I did, given how I’ve been a little bit rusty from traveling

30:32

lately, um I could have given a better cover, but one thing I wanted to do is

30:38

uh look at I wanted us to do I wanted to do a live

30:44

coverage on Twitch or here live on Twitter or X, whatever you call it

30:49

nowadays. Um probably shouldn’t be drinking soda

30:52

because it’s making me very gassy. Um, the one thing I want to leave this

30:56

episode off is, uh, take more risks. Put your money on assets that appreciate and

31:02

that at least are keeping up to the S&P 500, if not the S&P 500 itself. Um, just

31:08

because when you’re taking no risks, you’re not going to get anything in

31:10

return. So, if I were to put my money in right now, um, it would probably be

31:15

Bitcoin. Uh, why? Because Jim Kmer Jim Kramer says, “I’m going to sell my

31:21

Bitcoin.” So, this is what he said recently. It’s a one minute long video,

31:25

but

31:27

>> when I think about the equations that people tell me could never be cracked to

31:31

get to my crypto, I it sounds to me like the University of Chicago announcement.

31:36

Should I be more careful?

31:38

>> I think that you should give yourself three or four years and at that point I

31:42

would get rather paranoid about it.

31:45

>> Really? Three or four years? That’s not that long.

31:48

>> No, that’s not that long.

31:51

>> Oh boy.

31:52

>> Yeah. I I realize I’m way Ethereum not really maybe even worse. So I think that

31:58

people have to take this man seriously because they’re doing commercial quantum

32:03

>> and uh this quant the Chicago study basically cracked a number. It did an

32:08

equation that no one thought could ever be solved. So that isn’t that also what

32:12

you think about Bitcoin. Now there’ll be people in Bitcoin who say look I don’t

32:15

know what you’re talking about Jim. You don’t know anything. I don’t have to

32:18

know anything. I I asked the questions. I didn’t get the answer.

32:22

Arvin Arvin Christian knows quantum incredibly. He knows he knows Bitcoin

32:27

and quantum and I’m going to sell mine.

32:31

>> You are?

32:32

>> Yes, absolutely.

32:33

>> Really? Just on what he said.

32:34

>> Well, well, he’s he’s the man.

32:38

>> He’s the man.

32:40

>> IBM co is the man. That’s crazy. Um, this is probably a long segment video,

32:45

but all I wanted to share here as a close off is I’m putting my money in

32:49

Bitcoin. I’m putting my money in the S&P 500. Um, why? Because just do the

32:55

reversing CR. Do the reverse Kramer. Like that’s literally going to make you

32:58

more money than following whatever he says. So, he’s selling his Bitcoin and

33:02

the argument is basically quantum threat. And Wasp here, I think, covered

33:06

it pretty well. Everyone is scared of Bitcoin and the quantum threat. If

33:10

quantum can break Bitcoin, what is going to happen to banks in traditional

33:13

finance? So, quantum computers are literally we’re gonna be fine, guys.

33:18

Like, I wouldn’t even worry. Like, genuinely, like I’m just telling you

33:20

what I would tell my family, what I would tell my friends. Like, I would put

33:24

my money in these things. Quantum threads are very trivial. But anyways,

33:29

uh we’ll be back next week. We’re going to try to do something more interesting

33:32

and cover whatever is relevant at that time, if anything in crypto. Like this

33:36

week recently there was non crypto news. But let me know what you guys think.

33:40

Subscribe to the channel, like or dislike, leave us a comment. Let me know

33:45

what you guys think. And we’ll be seeing you next episode. Take care.

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